if he does not win! This is a package guaranteed to go 2-0!
Central Mich comes off a big win against Northern Illinois, a team that nearly beat Ohio State while Western Michigan is off a bye having lost big to Ohio State. I donât see how home field advantage, and a bye week would be this much of an advantage for Western Michigan team that has not played any better than the Chippewas that I can see. I will take the 4 point line move and back Central Michigan as these are two very similar teams with similar results against similar power 5 conference teams including Michigan State who Central Michigan played just as good against on the road while Western Michigan opened the season against them at home.
Both teams like to pass first as they have trouble running the ball. You could argue that whomever is able to run the ball should be able to win. Itâs really a coin flip, because Central Michigan has not been able to run on anyone, and Western Michigan has not been able to stop anyone. Although Central Michiganâs running game looked better at Michigan State and has been pretty consistent the entire season. I also like Jahray Hayes taking over for Spalding as he has more breakaway speed.
I believe both QBâs are pretty even, and both pass defenses are pretty even with Central Michigan probably having played better so far and better against their common opponent so small edge here to the Chippewas and I love what their QB Cooper Rush has been able to do his offensive line protects him better than Terrell, and they also have a better pass rush.
With all of these factors we took a look at third down defense and special teams as being the deciding factor and Central Michigan has a very big advantage especially in the kicking game when you look at the stats from 30+ yards out the Western Michigan kicker is just not capable and is even shaky at time on extra points.
Both teams lost at home last week, and itâs a question of who can bounce back? My money is on Georgia this week as they have a significant edge in the coaching department as the Bulldogs are 9-1 following a loss over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee also played much poorer against Arkansas despite the score than Georgia did against Alabama. Georgia really beat themselves early and were unable to stick to their game plan. They held Alabama to 379 yards, but it was their 4 turnovers, and the fact that they gave up 2 TD on a block punt, and an interception for a TD that made the final score look far worse than it really was. When you consider that they were still able to run the ball for over 5 yards per carry and hold Alabama under 5 it sets them up well against Tennessee this week. Itâs the perfect opportunity for this team to get away.
Tennessee is really missing 2 of their guys they lost up front earlier this season and they just allowed 275 yards rushing to a one dimensional Arkansas team. Actually Arkansas has been decent with the pass, and about even to Georgiaâs ability, but have struggled running the ball. The game against Tennessee was their best game and the rushing defenses they faced prior were 82, 116, 5th, and 111 so that tells you all you need to know about where Tennessee is this week. Georgia is much better running the ball with more than 200 yards on less carries and more rushing TDâs than Arkansas. Georgiaâs defense is also much better than Arkansas who held Tennessee to under 400 yards. Tennessee has not shown an ability to win unless they get their offense going and I donât see that as a possibility this week against an angry Georgia team that has bounced back well after losses under Mark Richt and I trust him much more over Butch Jones who has not proven a damn thing. Canât win close games, and canât get a signature win. This is another opportunity for him to do so and Iâm not confident he can.
